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China poised to hit clean power target five years early

China is reportedly on track to almost double its wind and solar power capacity and shatter the central government’s ambitious 2030 goal of 1,200 gigawatts way ahead of schedule.

‘China is making strides,’ says Martin Weil, a researcher at Global Energy Monitor (GEM).

The NGO, which tracks operating utility-scale wind and solar farms in the country, has just released a report uncovering that if all prospective projects are successfully built and commissioned, it’s well on its way to hitting its clean power targets five years earlier than originally planned.

As it explains, China is set to double its capacity and produce 1,200 gigawatts of energy through wind and solar power by 2025, bolstering its position as the global leader in renewables.

The findings are in line with previous analyses and recent government data, which predicted that China could easily surpass its goal of supplying a third of its power consumption through renewable sources by 2030.

According to GEM’s breakdown, as of the first quarter of 2023, China’s utility-scale solar capacity (with installations concentrated in the country’s north-west provinces, such as Shanxi, Xinjiang and Hebei) has reached 228 gigawatts, which is more than the rest of the world combined.

The group also identified solar farms under construction that could add another 379 gigawatts in prospective capacity, triple that of the United States and nearly double that of Europe – and that China has made significant progress in wind capacity.

This is as a result of its combined onshore and offshore capacity, which now surpasses 310 gigawatts, double its 2017 level and roughly equivalent to the top seven countries combined.

With new projects in Xinjiang, Gansu, and along coastal areas, China is on track to add another 371GW before 2025, increasing the global wind fleet by nearly half.

This remarkable advancement is attributable to the expansion of China’s non-fossil energy sources, as well as the range of policies its government has implemented, including generous subsidies to incentivise developers as well as regulations to put pressure on generating companies.

‘This new data provides unrivalled granularity about China’s jaw-dropping surge in solar and wind capacity,’ says Dorothy Mei, a project manager at GEM.

‘As we closely monitor the implementation of prospective projects, this detailed information becomes indispensable in navigating the country’s energy landscape.’

China’s green ambitions are part of it’s effort to meet dual carbon goals laid out in 2020 when president Xi Jinping pledged to achieve peak carbon dioxide emissions before the end of the decade and carbon neutrality by 2060.

As the second largest economy on Earth, it’s the biggest emitter of greenhouse gases and accounts for half of all the planet’s coal consumption.

Despite careful planning to address this, however, the transition has not been without its challenges.

In the last few years, China has been struck by record-smashing heatwaves and droughts brought on by climate change.

Many hydropower stations have been crippled as a result, triggering power crunches and bringing factories reliant on an outdated electricity grid to a halt.

With coal the only available option in these scenarios, more coal power was approved in the first three months of 2023 than in the whole of 2021.

To this, Weil stresses that with ‘coal still holding sway as the dominant power source, the country needs bolder advancements in energy storage and green technologies for a secure energy future.’

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