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Google AI is helping to combat flying’s stubborn contrail emissions

The thin white clouds that linger behind planes are called contrails, and they’re a significant contributor to flying emissions. Here’s how Google AI is finally helping to address the problem.

The small white clouds left behind by airplanes are called contrails – short for condensation trails – and they’re responsible for a third of all global warming tied to the aviation industry.

Forming when planes fly at high altitudes through humid air, water vapour and exhaust soot combine to create ice crystals which can linger for up to 10 hours. All the while, trails stretching huge lengths across the sky are trapping heat within the atmosphere.

For these reasons, as commercial airliners are forced to reckon with their carbon footprints and plot for net zero, curtail avoidance is becoming an increasingly important consideration.

‘We’ve demonstrated that contrail avoidance may be one of the most cost-effective climate solutions, not only for the aviation industry but also for the economy as a whole,’ says Juliet Rothenberg of Google AI, which has just rolled out an innovative tool to help.

The tech giant spent weeks collecting thousands of satellite images of curtails which they compiled with open source data from Breakthrough Energy.

All the information was then fed into Google’s AI machine learning model to develop prediction models of where curtails could occur along specific flight paths.

A following six month test with American Airlines proved that by adjusting a few thousand feet upward or downward during a flight, the formation of curtails could be avoided by as much as 54%.

Pilots used an updated software which usually helps correct flight paths to limit turbulence in real-time, in this instance also avoiding regions with abundant humidity.

‘Weather in the sky is notoriously inaccurate, especially for relative humidity, just because there aren’t many sensors up at that altitude,’ says Rothenberg, but Google AI has proved comfortably the most effective apparatus for mitigation.

The next step for Google is to trial its software through night flights, in which contrails are said to have a more significant effect, before making its data and platform freely available for use.

Paired with experimental biofuel blends created to limit the reaction of soot and water vapour, we can begin to envision landscapes with completely clear skies.

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