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The aftermath of the explosive talks between Trump and Zelenskyy

After the heated discussion between both leaders, Trump suspended military aid and intelligence to Ukraine, sparking concerns for the latter’s position in the war.

After being invited to the White House in late February, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy left the Oval Office defeated. The initial purpose of the meeting was to finalize a deal between both nations that grants the US access to Ukraine’s rare earth elements and to seek US security before any peace talks with Russia.

Though the meeting began with optimism, it slowly escalated when Zelenskyy expressed his skepticism against Putin and a potential peace deal. Things only worsened after Vice President J.D. Vance berated the Ukrainian leader for publicizing his grievances.

Following that, Trump, who went on to raise his voice, accused Zelenskyy of ‘gambling with World War 3’ and being ‘disrespectful’ with suggestions that the latter was promoting propaganda.

It was even posited that Ukraine would have lost the battle to Russia in less than two weeks had they not had access to US military equipment. Irrelevant to the agenda, the US participants present in the meeting even quipped about Zelenskyy’s attire.

The meeting abruptly ended with Trump inappropriately mentioning that it would have made ‘great television’. Nevertheless, the early departure of the Ukrainians left the mineral agreement unsigned and joint press conferences being cancelled.

A few days after the meeting, a decision was made by the White House to suspend military aid to Ukraine. This order that took effect immediately affected over $1 billion worth of arms and ammunition that was either on order or in transit. Trump stated that the aid would remain suspended until Ukraine demonstrated a genuine commitment to engage in peace talks with Russia.

That’s not all, either. The Western superpower also stopped sharing intelligence with Kyiv. This was part of the nation’s effort to put a pause on both military and intelligence fronts, which is a significant blow to Ukraine’s military capabilities.

Before the suspension, the nation relied heavily on the US for both to target Russian forces and conduct operations. Since the war began, Ukraine has amassed an estimated $21 billion worth of military aid from the US. CIA Director John Ratcliffe maintained Trump’s position that any intel would be shared once Ukraine has pledged its commitment to the peace process.

With heavy reliance on US-supplied resources, Ukraine faces a loss of advanced systems, increased air defense vulnerability, and the gradual erosion of combat capability. Without the first two, the nation would not be able to target high-value Russian assets. Additionally, Ukrainian cities will be more exposed to Russian drone and missile attacks.

According to Mark Cancian, a senior adviser with the Center for Strategic and International Studies, without the aid of US, Ukrainian troops might only sustain their current level of combat effectiveness for two-to-four months, before their defenses begin to falter.

Due to the lack of military support, it is expected that Russia will likely exploit this temporary vulnerability by intensifying attacks against Ukraine – the mission being to push Zelenskyy into a corner for negotiation, whether he likes the terms or not.

Following the suspension of military aid, Zelenskky came forth stating that he was ready to engage in peace talks with Russia in an attempt to reconcile with the Trump administration. Zelenskyy outlined a peace plan that ranged from a ceasefire in the airspace to an immediate maritime truce.

In light of Trump’s concerning words toward Ukraine, Europe has been racing to improve its own defense package up to €800 billion. Just recently, the European Union (EU) announced that there would be a €3.5 billion payment to Ukraine scheduled for this month. UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer has played a pivotal role in ensuring Europe’s efforts in aiding Ukraine.

He spearheaded the formation of a ‘coalition of the willing’ which includes UK, France, and other European nations to develop a comprehensive peace plan for Ukraine – to be presented to the the Oval Office.

His four-point agenda includes maintaining military aid, increasing economic sanctions on Russia, ensuring Ukraine’s sovereignty in any peace agreement, and enhancing the nation’s defenses post-agreement. Moreover, he announced that Ukraine would gain an additional £1.6 billion to procure air defense missiles from the UK.

Despite its display of genuine solidarity, however, it is unlikely that Europe would be able to replicate the entirety of what the US has supplied to Ukraine. For instance, the Ukrainian rely on US-based Starlink’s service for internet. The company that is headed by Elon Musk, Trump’s powerful new ally, allows for the nation to progress on its drone force.

Wherever you turn on the Ukrainian side of war, American influence is there. Without it, Ukraine is likely to fall to Russia. As tight a spot as Zelenskyy is in right now, his best bet is a peace agreement that aligns with Ukranian, European, American, and Russian interests – if that is even possible.

Otherwise, as many predict, this could well be the beginning of the end for Ukraine’s sovereignty.

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