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Melting Arctic ice spells opportunity for Far North Fiber’s internet project

While Arctic ice may fully melt by 2040, Far North Fiber views this as a door to install internet cables in the region; capitalizing on the climate disaster and the global surge in internet usage.

Navigating daily life without encountering the internet is challenging. From smartphones to digital billboards, the digital realm pervades every aspect of our lives.

With its usage surging during the pandemic, just over 5 billion globally have internet access today – that’s about 66% of the world’s population and this number is only expected to increase by another two billion by 2029.

You may not be aware, however, that submarine cables are why global connectivity through the internet is possible. Approximately, over 90% of the world’s telecommunications traffic is made possible through these cables that are laid in depths of over 8,000 meters.

As internet usage increases, the demand for undersea cables is rising, with bandwidth growth projected at 30% to 50% annually from 2021 to 2028. This has led to significant investments in new cable infrastructure throughout our oceans – including the Arctic. Among these, the EU-backed Far North Fiber plan is the most ambitious.


The Arctic ice sheet

NASA estimates the Arctic ice sheet is shrinking by 13% per decade, potentially leading to ice-free summers by 2040. Melting glaciers are linked to rising sea levels, with the Greenland ice sheet alone capable of raising sea levels by 20 feet if fully melted.

Since the late 1970s, satellite records show that Arctic sea ice has decreased by over 2 million square kilometers, with the ice becoming thinner and the melting season lengthening. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predicts that before September 2050, Arctic ice may shrink to less than 1 million square kilometers.

The albedo effect drives ice reduction by exposing darker ocean water that absorbs more solar energy, accelerating warming and ice melt. This positive feedback loop has significantly lowered the Arctic’s surface albedo, with temperatures in the region rising nearly three times faster than the global average since the 1980s.


The Far North Fiber project

This major reduction in sea ice has made much of the Arctic accessible for new navigable routes. This is where Far North Fiber comes in with its Northwest Passage, finding a silver lining amid our climate disaster.

The initiative includes cables stretching 14,500 km long aimed at connecting Japan and Europe via the Arctic. It is proposed by a consortium of Cinia, a Finnish company, and Far North Digital, an Alaskan company.

The Far North Fiber project aims to cut latency to 142 milliseconds and boost data transmission between Asia and Europe, supporting up to 120 terabits per second (Tbps) for express capacity and 30 Tbps for local capacity.

It also emphasizes engagement with Indigenous organizations and local governments in Arctic Canada to establish branch landings that will enhance broadband access for underserved communities in the region.


Why the Arctic?

The Arctic offers a new route for undersea cables, diverging from the heavily trafficked Atlantic and Pacific paths. As such, the European Union’s CEF Digital has invested €23 million in this project to enhance Europe’s digital infrastructure by proposing a route less vulnerable to geopolitical tensions and environmental threats.

Moreover, the region adds security for cables, with fewer concerns about disruptions due to its low seismic activity, absence of tsunamis, and harsh climate events. This stability makes the region an attractive option for safeguarding global internet infrastructure.

Moreover, its remoteness lowers human interference risk, especially with undersea cable sabotage rising. In February, damage to three Red Sea cables was first blamed on Houthi rebels but later on a ship’s anchor hit by a missile.

In 2017, the UK warned of Russia’s threat to cables, noting sabotage and citing advanced seabed mapping of European infrastructure. These incidents highlight the increasing vulnerability of global internet connections to interference.

The Arctic route lowers the risk of accidental damage from fishing or shipping, common in high-traffic areas like the Red Sea. With that, the Far North Fiber project creates a direct Europe-Asia link, reducing reliance on vulnerable choke points and minimizing the threat of government-sponsored sabotage.

Not to mention, the thick ice protects the cables for much of the year, making them inaccessible for disruption. While maintenance is challenging, the ice acts as a natural barrier, reducing the risk of human interference, especially during winter.

The true impact of these initiatives may only become clear if unfortunately, we achieve an ice-free Arctic, as their success partly depends on the cables being periodically inaccessible due to ice refreezing.

As such, while the goal of improving internet access is just, it raises huge ethical concerns about benefiting from such a climate disaster.

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