The rise and (fall?) of global inequality
A look at history explains how major inequality between global nations came about.
We tend to think of the Industrial Revolution as a time when the world began to experience sudden and rapid growth. But this did not happen at equal speeds and degrees around the globe.
Countries in the West had a head start, bolstered by wealth obtained during the colonial era, and were more easily able to put in motion new and advanced technologies. Meanwhile, nations recovering as victims of these conquests lagged behind.
The increased workforce productivity and booming trade that took place in the West as a result of the Industrial Revolution only further widened the global inequality gap throughout the twentieth century.
Itβs no surprise then that major differences in economic prosperity became easily observable between regions. More specifically between the West (UK, Northern Europe, and the US) and East (Africa, India, and some parts of Eastern Asia).
This granted citizens in Western nations great social mobility, resulting in a drop in economic disparity between citizens within these regions. It also saw America become responsible for a massive 40 percent of global economic output.
Today, the world is different. Countries with lower GDP per capita are tapping into their resources, developing rapidly, and coming for long-reigning Western nationsβ spots.
Globalisation and the Westβs dwindling power
Globalisation has enabled money to flow more lucratively into developing nations, boosting their economies and improving rates of productivity.
This is most evident in China, which has experienced tremendous growth in just a few decades. Similar growth is also taking place in India, admittedly at a much slower rate, but it can also explain the Gini coefficient rating drop that occurred in the last 20 years.
For as long as most of Gen Z has been alive, even the poorest individuals in Western nations have been considered rich when compared to the highest earners in low-income nations.
The tables are turning, with a growing number of citizens in China starting to match the income levels of middle-class Americans. Milanovic points out that within the next two to three decades, the number of Chinese people earning more than the U.S. median will surpass the number of Americans continuing to do so.
This is causing our perspective on wealth to shift to a global lens. As earners in non-Western countries begin claiming higher earnings, theyβre forcing Westerners out of their long-reigning position as the worldβs top earners.
From this angle, youβre no longer βrichβ or βpoorβ by Western standards. Youβre βrichβ or βnot richβ by a global standard. As such, countries in the West are seeing economic disparity amongst their own citizens worsen for the first time in two centuries.
What the overall data doesnβt tell us
Of course, the fact that money is flowing more equally around the world is objectively very good news.
The infamous Three World Model could become less relevant as developing nations continue improving education rates β especially for young girls β creating a domino effect resulting in higher employment, boosted economic productivity, and stronger trading power.
Globalisation has no doubt opened opportunities for lower-income nations to accomplish this. But Milanovic points out that it is not the silver bullet, warning that βprogress towards greater global inequality is not inevitableβ and has historically left some nations worse off.
He also says that whether the Gini coefficient rating for global economic inequality falls further will depend on the ability of African countries to grow and sustain a higher level of wealth. This is a scenario he sees as βunlikely,β though these things arenβt always entirely predictable.
All in all, rich people in the West may still be getting richer and poorer groups are now feeling the pinch more than ever. But, itβs interesting to see wealth β which generally equates to overall power β being more evenly distributed across the world.
Read the full report here, complete with full stats and visual graphs depicting how global inequality has changed throughout the decades.