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Climate inaction looms over Afghanistan under the Taliban

The Taliban seizing power in Afghanistan has put the nation’s climate plans on hold. Threatened by food insecurity and major droughts, the region may struggle to bounce back.

The US withdrawal from Afghanistan wasn’t just a threat to citizens on a humanitarian and human rights front, it has also jeopardised prior plans to address the region’s worsening climate.

Before the Taliban’s unanointed takeover, Afghanistan’s National Environmental Protection Agency had planned a climate pledge to be submitted at COP26 this November. One that now, sadly, won’t see the light of day.

Disproportionately affected by climate change, Afghanistan is normally dry and hot for much of the year, but its central highlands reportedly saw around 40% less rain throughout last spring – a vital period for the country’s many farmers.

Despite making up a meagre fraction of carbon emissions overall, Afghanistan’s local climate has warmed by 1.8 degrees Celsius between 1950 and 2010. This is twice the global average.

Here and now, severe droughts are having knock on effects in water scarcity and food insecurity impacting more than 14 million Afghan people. All the while, extreme weather events like flash floods are popping up with worrying regularity.

At the UN Climate Conference in Glasgow, 200 world governments will come together to show their respective progress on the Paris Agreement and address areas where net zero targets are faltering.

Like previous years, the most prosperous economies will draw up plans to help developing nations cope with the effects of climate change, whilst providing the infrastructure and financial support to help them transition to clean energy.

When this takes place, there is a growing feeling that Afghanistan – one of the world’s most vulnerable nations – won’t be in the conversation. It’s truly concerning.

Afghanistan’s former chief climate negotiator Ahmad Samim Hoshmand was due to appeal to wealthy nations for help, but has since been forced into hiding for attempting to ban lucrative trades of ozone-depleting substances.

Previously securing $20 million in grants from the Green Climate Fund, he was creating strategies to support renewable energy locally and was due to present them in November.

Speaking about climate change before going off-grid, Hoshmand not only alluded to its immediate impacts on the landscape, but also socioeconomic factors which could lead to even more outlaw behaviour.

‘Violence, conflict, human rights abuses, and underage marriage are linked with climate change,’ he stated in August.

‘85% of Afghanistan’s economy depends on agriculture. So, when farmers lose their livelihoods, they will do whatever they can to survive. In a fragile country like Afghanistan, the alternatives are often dangerous.’

With Hoshmand unlikely to represent Afghanistan at COP26, any progress the country stands to make now lies in the hands of the Taliban. It goes without saying that they’re not seen as an ally in the eyes of most participating nations.

To make matters worse, Afghanistan is currently sitting on an untapped mineral wroth of $1 trillion and one of the largest lithium deposits on the planet.

Such resources could be vital to tackling climate change, as the world ditches fossil fuels and scales up its use of rechargeable batteries.

World leaders are waking up to the fact that the health of the planet is an existential crisis that needs tackling, but in Afghanistan the prosperity of future generations now hangs in the balance.

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