What is the appeal of using balloons for spying?
Giant balloons have been used for international surveillance since the French Revolution and were later used by both the United States and the Soviet Union during the Cold War.
Nowadays, drones are far more stealthy and efficient for information gathering, but balloons can be favoured for their low cost during production and deployment stages.
The one shot down this weekend was spotted hovering at 60,000 feet. This is lower to the ground than satellites, but higher up than commercial aeroplanes. At least two similar balloons believed to belong to China have been noticed flying over Latin America in the last week.
Not to mention, the inconspicuous design of the balloon has made it easy for China to claim the device was used for reasons unrelated to information gathering. So far, Chinese officials are holding firm to this kind of notion.
They say that the balloon was simply a civilian airship used for meteorological research that drifted off course due to its ‘self-steering’ technology being overridden by high winds. China also expressed its discontent at the aircraft being shot down.
Collection of the debris is underway, but until the pieces can be fully assessed by the US government there will continue to be speculation about the true motivations for the balloon.
What has the fallout been so far?
Many believe it was no coincidence that China sent a balloon across the Pacific at this time. US intelligence services learned of it only days before the Secretary of State Antony Blinken was scheduled to visit Beijing, China for a meeting with top leaders.
During the visit, representatives from each nation were to attempt to iron out issues with their long-fragmented political relationship. However, once the US became aware of the balloon, the trip was scrapped.
Considering that the device was not armed, US officials believe that China performed this stunt to send a message about its growing level of power over the world economy.
China is already on track to become a major financial superpower in the not-so-distant future and it could very well dethrone the US as a leading global nation.
Intelligence experts have stated that the balloon could be China postulating their belief that ‘the United States is a once-great superpower that’s holloed-out, that’s in decline.’
Considering the US deployed balloons during the Cold War, China could be taunting American officials with an ‘anything you can do, we can do too’ attitude.
The coming weeks will be telling, as information about the believed radar and solar-powered mechanics on board the balloon will be revealed.
In regard to how the relationship between the two superpowers is affected in the long term – let’s just say chances of forming a renewed sense of trust is unlikely anytime soon.