Menu Menu

5 ways science could divert deadly asteroids

An extinction event raining down on us from space is hardly a pleasant thought. Luckily scientists are working on ways we might avoid going the way of the dinosaurs.

Last year, NASA and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) released an 18-page document outlining the steps they would take over the next 10 years to prevent dangerous asteroids striking earth. This might seem like a bit of a waste of government resources considering that your chances of being killed by a flying cosmic rock are about one in 200,000 to 700,000, depending on who you ask.

The whole thing becomes less ridiculous when you consider the consequences of an asteroid collision. Not a single person – not even Hitler – could possibly wipe out the entire human race. An asteroid could. If a rock just 10 kilometres across struck earth it would be sayonara for every last one of us.

In fact, chances are an asteroid already has wiped out all life on earth when a space rock made an unwelcome visit to the dinosaurs. Moreover, whilst the likelihood that an extinction sized asteroid will hit earth today is astronomically low, the likelihood that one will hit earth at least once every billion years is 100%.

Aka, there’s a 100% chance that another extinction event will happen at some point in the future, we just don’t know when.

So, yea, it seems pretty sensible to prepare.

But, worry not reader. There are several methods that scientists have come up with to divert, stop, or destroy an oncoming asteroid – or to carry out ‘rapid response NEO (near-earth object) reconnaissance missions’. Some seem pretty legit, and some are straight out of the movie Armageddon where the filmmakers try to convince us it would be easier to train miners to navigate space than to train astronauts to use mining equipment.

Here are some of the most notable methods, both sound and unsound, that could potentially save us from an attack of the smashy space rocks…

1. Throw something big at it

Let’s start with the plan that, according to last year’s report, it seems NASA favours.

The third part of NASA’s five step preparation and prevention plan involves testing the effects of launching a spacecraft that’s moving really, really fast at an asteroid traveling through space. Astronomers are hoping that this would effectively change the body’s orbit and knock it off course.

To envision this it’s useful to think of two billiard balls interacting in a game of pool. The energy possessed by the moving billiard ball (kinetic energy for those of us who pay attention in science class) get transferred to the other balls on the table, making them move. In this case, the cue ball is an unmanned spacecraft similar to the probe used in NASA’s Deep Impact mission (no, not the movie).

 

2. Blow it up with nuclear weapons

If you need to blast a huge rock to smithereens, the go-to-guy is probably the atomic bomb. This extremely macho approach would involve slamming a nuclear warhead into an approaching asteroid and detonating it. However, in this article’s second reference to the film Deep Impact, you might recall that when Morgan Freeman tries this exact approach onscreen, the big asteroid breaks apart into loads of medium sized asteroids, which pose just as big of a threat to earth. Now that’s what I call problem solving.

It’s theorised that a better use of nuclear power would be to detonate a warhead near the asteroid, letting material vaporise on one side due to the heat of the explosion. The imbalanced weight would then serve to change the trajectory of the asteroid.

3. Turn the asteroid into a cosmic sailboat

The sun emits light in the form of photons – these are particles that travel like waves through something called the electromagnetic field. This is how the sun produces solar energy that can power your house. Electromagnetic waves travel through the air a bit like regular waves. Or, indeed, like wind.

It’s long been theorised that in the vast expanse of space, it would be possible for ships to ride these waves like a boat, with special sails attached that would direct and manipulate electromagnetic energy.
If you had advanced warning of an asteroid’s approach – and I’m talking several years – you could theoretically fasten some solar sails to an asteroid, do a little tracking and steer it away from earth.

 

4. Pull the asteroid out of orbit

As we all know, every object in the universe emits a gravitational pull that fluctuates based on the size of the object. Even right now you are are exerting a pull on the objects around you, but unfortunately your mass isn’t enough to actually move them. Feel free to give it a go and prove us wrong though.

Compared to an asteroid, very few man-made objects could be considered ‘massive’. However, if you placed even a small spacecraft in an asteroid’s orbit, over the course of a few years it’s likely that it would exert enough pull to, you guessed it, divert the asteroid’s course. Again, this plan would need to be in action well in advance of impact.

 

5. Hurl little bits of the asteroid into space

Remember those tennis-ball pitching machines the teacher used in PE as a kid? They had a feeder tube and a wheel assembly to shoot balls out at 80 km/hr to teach you a lesson about physics and why you should listen to your teachers when they say not to walk in front of the ouchy thing.

Astronomers believe that if you could create a big enough version of this, and somehow managed to transport it to the surface of an asteroid, you could potentially scoop up large sections of the asteroid and shoot them out in the opposite direction you want the asteroid to go. Due to Newton’s third law (each action has an equal and opposite reaction) this displacement of mass, and the force of the machine on the asteroid, would then shift the asteroid away from earth’s orbit.

Now the only question that remains is, should we send miners or astronauts to conduct this mission?

Whilst all these methods have at least one (though, sometimes literally only one) scientist championing them as the most logical solution, diverting the asteroid is merely the tip of the iceberg. In order to orchestrate a feat as monumental as preventing the end of the world you’d need both widespread international cooperation, and a lot of money.

That’s why deciding on a method of diversion for the asteroid is only step three of five within NASA’s plan. Other prevention steps include increasing global observation and tracking efforts of interplanetary bodies, improving prediction data, growing international awareness and cooperation regarding the threat of space debris, and congressionally agreeing to a ‘plan of action’ if a body does manage to strike earth.

So, you can rest assured that there are people out there thinking about the best ways to defend you from Armageddon. There’s even a NASA department of ‘planetary defence’. But make no mistake, a functional and cost-effective plan is a long way off.

So let’s cross our fingers that one isn’t already on its way, shall we?

Accessibility